{"id":7705,"date":"2024-12-10T12:25:00","date_gmt":"2024-12-10T12:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.expanamarkets.com\/?post_type=insight&#038;p=7705"},"modified":"2025-05-25T07:55:54","modified_gmt":"2025-05-25T07:55:54","slug":"sugar-prices-2025-market-trends-and-outlook","status":"publish","type":"insight","link":"https:\/\/www.expanamarkets.com\/insights\/article\/sugar-prices-2025-market-trends-and-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"Sugar Prices 2025: Market Trends and Outlook\u00a0\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<!-- .module.article-rich-text: start -->\n<div id=\"\" class=\"module article-rich-text pt-32 md:pt-48 xl:pt-56 pb-40 md:pb-64 xl:pb-80 hidden show-small:block show-medium:block show-large:block [p_+_p]:mb-24\">\n\t<h2><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Key Takeaways<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:false,&quot;134233118&quot;:false,&quot;335559738&quot;:240,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"1\" data-list-defn-props=\"{&quot;335552541&quot;:1,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559991&quot;:360,&quot;469769226&quot;:&quot;Symbol&quot;,&quot;469769242&quot;:[8226],&quot;469777803&quot;:&quot;left&quot;,&quot;469777804&quot;:&quot;\uf0b7&quot;,&quot;469777815&quot;:&quot;hybridMultilevel&quot;}\" aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-aria-posinset=\"1\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The ICE #11 Sugar March 2025 contract declined by 4% in November as improved weather in Brazil exerted bearish pressure.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:false,&quot;134233118&quot;:false,&quot;335559738&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"1\" data-list-defn-props=\"{&quot;335552541&quot;:1,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559991&quot;:360,&quot;469769226&quot;:&quot;Symbol&quot;,&quot;469769242&quot;:[8226],&quot;469777803&quot;:&quot;left&quot;,&quot;469777804&quot;:&quot;\uf0b7&quot;,&quot;469777815&quot;:&quot;hybridMultilevel&quot;}\" aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-aria-posinset=\"2\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The ICE #5 White Sugar March 2025 contract fell by 4.2% month-on-month, influenced by a stronger U.S. dollar against local producer currencies.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:false,&quot;134233118&quot;:false,&quot;335559738&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"1\" data-list-defn-props=\"{&quot;335552541&quot;:1,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559991&quot;:360,&quot;469769226&quot;:&quot;Symbol&quot;,&quot;469769242&quot;:[8226],&quot;469777803&quot;:&quot;left&quot;,&quot;469777804&quot;:&quot;\uf0b7&quot;,&quot;469777815&quot;:&quot;hybridMultilevel&quot;}\" aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-aria-posinset=\"3\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Optimism surrounding Brazil\u2019s crop may partially offset projected global sugar trade deficits in Q1 2025, though the 2024\/25 marketing year still points towards a deficit.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:false,&quot;134233118&quot;:false,&quot;335559738&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"1\" data-list-defn-props=\"{&quot;335552541&quot;:1,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559991&quot;:360,&quot;469769226&quot;:&quot;Symbol&quot;,&quot;469769242&quot;:[8226],&quot;469777803&quot;:&quot;left&quot;,&quot;469777804&quot;:&quot;\uf0b7&quot;,&quot;469777815&quot;:&quot;hybridMultilevel&quot;}\" aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-aria-posinset=\"4\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">New speculative short positions trimmed net longs in #11 futures, with producers capitalizing on price dips to significantly reduce their net short exposure.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:false,&quot;134233118&quot;:false,&quot;335559738&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Market Sentiment and Harvest Dynamics<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:false,&quot;134233118&quot;:false,&quot;335559738&quot;:240,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0Despite above-normal rainfall in the second half of October 2024, Center-South (CS) Brazil maintained a strong sugarcane harvest pace. During 2H Oct 2024, 27.2 million tonnes were crushed\u201410.3% above expectations, but 21.6% lower year-on-year. Cumulative crushing reached 566.0 million tonnes, nearly unchanged year-on-year.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:false,&quot;134233118&quot;:false,&quot;335559738&quot;:240,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In India\u2019s Maharashtra region, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.expanamarkets.com\/markets\/tropical-softs\/sugar-sweeteners\/\">sugar prices<\/a> slipped from INR 37,000\/MT to INR 35,400\/MT in early November amid adequate domestic supply perceptions. This decrease, combined with the potential for higher-than-expected supply, intensified millers\u2019 calls for raising the minimum selling price and ethanol prices, as well as allowing sugar exports. After state elections on 20 November, the crushing pace eventually accelerated.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:false,&quot;134233118&quot;:false,&quot;335559738&quot;:240,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Brazil\u2019s Late-Season Uncertainty and Its Impact on Sugar Prices 2025<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:false,&quot;134233118&quot;:false,&quot;335559738&quot;:240,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0Uncertainty persists over Brazil\u2019s late-season sugar output. While excessive rainfall could prompt mills to halt operations early, leaving some cane uncrushed, resilient mills may continue processing into early December, boosting overall sugar production. Although this additional supply may not fully resolve the anticipated global trade-flow deficit in Q1 2025, it could foster a more neutral or bearish outlook for <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Sugar Prices 2025<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:false,&quot;134233118&quot;:false,&quot;335559738&quot;:240,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Speculative Positioning Influences Market Sentiment<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:false,&quot;134233118&quot;:false,&quot;335559738&quot;:240,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0The Commitment of Traders report dated 26 November indicates that speculators scaled back their net long positions in ICE No. 11 futures by over 10,000 contracts throughout November. Reduced open longs and increased open shorts\u2014rising from 69,196 contracts at October\u2019s end to 75,593 by late November\u2014have reinforced downward price pressure, influencing the trajectory of <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Sugar Prices 2025<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:false,&quot;134233118&quot;:false,&quot;335559738&quot;:240,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">For more insights into Sugar Prices 2025, global supply-demand factors, and emerging market trends, stay tuned for further updates.<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:false,&quot;134233118&quot;:false,&quot;335559738&quot;:240,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n\t<\/div>\n\t<!-- .module.article-rich-text: end -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":3024,"template":"","tags":[197,124],"insight-theme":[166],"insight_topic":[113],"news_topic":[],"class_list":["post-7705","insight","type-insight","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-featured","tag-tropical-softs","insight-theme-weekly-market-insights","insight_topic-coffee-cocoa-tea"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.6 (Yoast SEO v27.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Sugar Prices 2025: Market Trends and Outlook\u00a0\u00a0<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Sugar Prices 2025: Market Trends and Outlook\u00a0\u00a0\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.expanamarkets.com\/insights\/article\/sugar-prices-2025-market-trends-and-outlook\/\" 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