{"id":14965,"date":"2026-03-24T11:39:54","date_gmt":"2026-03-24T11:39:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.expanamarkets.com\/?post_type=insight&#038;p=14965"},"modified":"2026-03-24T11:44:07","modified_gmt":"2026-03-24T11:44:07","slug":"how-to-reduce-food-commodity-risk","status":"publish","type":"insight","link":"https:\/\/www.expanamarkets.com\/insights\/article\/how-to-reduce-food-commodity-risk\/","title":{"rendered":"How to Reduce Food Commodity Risk: A Practical Guide for Procurement Managers\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<!-- .module.introduction: start -->\n<div  class=\"module introduction theme-lightGreen pt-16 md:pt-20 xl:pt-24 pb-0 hidden show-small:block show-medium:block show-large:block relative z-10\">\n\n\t<div class=\"container md:grid grid-cols-12\">\n\n\t\t<div class=\"content col-span-12 md:col-span-8 \">\n\t\t\t<h5 class=\"h5\" data-scroll-class=\"expanaFadeInUp\">Key takeaways<\/h5>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"description mt prose\" data-scroll-class=\"expanaFadeInUp\" data-scroll-delay=\"500\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<p><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">&#8211; Food commodity risk affects procurement teams even when they don&#8217;t buy raw commodities directly &#8211; price volatility travels through supply chains and lands in your supplier invoices.<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">&#8211; The four main drivers of food commodity price volatility are supply chain disruptions, currency movements, market speculation, and regulatory changes.<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">&#8211; Unmanaged commodity risk leads to budget overruns, squeezed margins, and weakened negotiating positions with suppliers.<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">&#8211; <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.expanamarkets.com\/product\/features\/commodity-price-forecasts\/\">Commodity price forecasting<\/a><\/span> is the most underused risk management tool available to procurement teams\u00a0&#8211;\u00a0and the one that makes every other strategy more effective.<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">&#8211; The five core strategies for reducing food commodity risk are: forecasting, long-term supplier agreements, strategic purchasing, supplier diversification, and financial hedging.<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">&#8211; Most procurement teams\u00a0don&#8217;t\u00a0need a derivatives account to manage commodity risk effectively. Operational strategies informed by good market intelligence are often more practical.<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<!-- .module.introduction: end -->\n\n\n<!-- .module.article-rich-text: start -->\n<div id=\"\" class=\"module article-rich-text pt-10 md:pt-10 xl:pt-10 pb-16 md:pb-20 xl:pb-24 hidden show-small:block show-medium:block show-large:block [p_+_p]:mb-24\">\n\t<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Food commodity prices\u00a0don&#8217;t\u00a0move politely. One quarter\u00a0you&#8217;ve\u00a0locked in a comfortable margin on your flour-based product line; the next, a drought in a key growing region has pushed wheat costs up\u00a014% in a quarter\u00a0and your budget assumptions are out the window. For procurement managers, this\u00a0isn&#8217;t\u00a0an abstract market risk.\u00a0It&#8217;s\u00a0a direct threat to margins, supplier relationships, and the ability to plan with any confidence.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Food commodity risk is manageable. Not eliminable &#8211; but manageable. This guide explains\u00a0what drives it, what it costs when left unaddressed, and five practical strategies you can use to reduce your exposure.\u00a0We&#8217;ll\u00a0start with the one most procurement\u00a0teams\u00a0underuse: forecasting.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h5>What Is Food Commodity Risk and Why Does It Matter for Procurement?\u00a0<\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Food commodity risk is the financial exposure procurement teams face when the prices of raw ingredients, agricultural inputs, or packaging materials move unpredictably. For food and beverage manufacturers, commodity costs typically\u00a0represent\u00a0up to 70%\u00a0of total production costs &#8211; meaning even moderate price swings can hit profitability hard.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">What makes this risk particularly difficult to manage is that you\u00a0don&#8217;t\u00a0need to be buying raw commodities directly to feel it. Volatility travels through supply chains. A rise in cocoa bean prices shows up in your couverture chocolate contract. A spike in crude oil pushes up packaging and\u00a0logistics\u00a0costs. By the time price increases reach your supplier invoices, the market has already moved &#8211; and reactive buying gets expensive fast.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The businesses that manage price volatility best are not always those with the biggest hedging programmes.\u00a0They&#8217;re\u00a0the ones that see movements coming and act before the market forces their hand.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h5>What Causes Food Commodity Prices to Fluctuate?\u00a0<\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Understanding the drivers of price volatility tells you which risks you can\u00a0anticipate\u00a0and which require a structural hedge. The main causes fall into four categories.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Supply chain disruptions and crop failures<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Agricultural commodities are uniquely exposed to events outside anyone&#8217;s control. Drought, flooding, disease, and pest infestations can reduce yields and tighten supply quickly. The cocoa market is a recent example &#8211; consecutive poor harvests in West Africa drove prices to record highs in 2024 and 2025, catching many buyers without adequate cover. When supply disruptions hit concentrated growing regions, price spikes can be sharp and sustained.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Currency movements<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Most globally traded food commodities are priced in US dollars. If\u00a0you&#8217;re\u00a0buying\u00a0in GBP or EUR, a weakening domestic currency amplifies your commodity cost exposure &#8211;\u00a0you&#8217;re\u00a0paying more even if the underlying dollar price\u00a0hasn&#8217;t\u00a0budged. For UK and European procurement teams, currency risk is an often-overlooked layer sitting on top of raw commodity risk.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Speculation and market sentiment<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Commodity markets attract speculative capital as well as commercial buyers. During periods of macro uncertainty &#8211; rising interest rates, geopolitical tension such as the ongoing <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.expanamarkets.com\/insights\/topics\/middle-east-conflict\/\">Middle East conflict<\/a><\/span>, financial market stress &#8211; speculative positioning can drive prices beyond what supply and demand fundamentals alone would justify. Short-term price spikes don&#8217;t always signal a genuine supply problem. Knowing the difference helps you avoid panic buying at the top of the market.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Regulatory and trade policy changes<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Export bans, import tariffs, and changes in agricultural subsidies can shift commodity prices quickly. Indonesia&#8217;s temporary palm oil export restrictions in 2022 are a useful reminder that policy decisions in producing countries can create immediate supply shocks for buyers elsewhere. Staying across regulatory developments in your key commodity markets is part of doing this job well.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h5>The Impact of Food Commodity Risk on Procurement and Margins\u00a0<\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">When commodity risk goes unmanaged, the consequences land squarely in the procurement function. The most immediate is budget overrun: if your cost model was built on a commodity price that has since moved\u00a014% above plan,\u00a0you&#8217;re\u00a0either absorbing the loss, renegotiating supplier contracts under pressure, or passing costs downstream. None of those are comfortable positions to be in.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Price volatility also complicates supplier negotiations. When markets are moving fast, suppliers become reluctant to offer fixed-price contracts without significant premiums. That leaves buyers choosing between paying for certainty or accepting floating costs with limited visibility over what the next quarter will bring.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">There&#8217;s\u00a0also a planning dimension that often gets overlooked. Procurement teams that\u00a0can&#8217;t\u00a0forecast their raw material costs with reasonable confidence struggle to support\u00a0accurate\u00a0product pricing, margin modelling, or capacity planning. In industries where price lists are set quarterly or annually, being caught out mid-cycle has knock-on effects well beyond procurement.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h5>How to Reduce Food Commodity Risk: 5 Proven Strategies<\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Reducing food commodity risk takes a combination of forecasting, supplier agreements, strategic purchasing, supply base diversification, and financial hedging. The most effective starting point is intelligence &#8211; understanding where prices are likely to move gives you the ability to act before volatility hits, not after.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">1: Use commodity price forecasting to anticipate movements<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Forecasting is the most underused tool procurement teams have. Financial hedging\u00a0instruments attract most of the attention, but\u00a0they&#8217;re\u00a0only as good as the market intelligence behind them. Without a credible view on where prices are headed over your planning horizon, you\u00a0can&#8217;t\u00a0make informed decisions about when to fix costs, when to buy forward, or when to hold.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.expanamarkets.com\/product\/features\/commodity-price-forecasts\/\">Expana&#8217;s commodity price forecasting tools<\/a><\/span> give procurement teams access to price signals and trend analysis across a wide range of agricultural and food commodities. That intelligence supports better-timed purchasing decisions, provides information that you could use to avoid buying at peaks, and gives you a defensible basis for contract negotiations with suppliers.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Forecasting doesn&#8217;t replace the other strategies. It makes all of them sharper.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">2: Lock in prices through long-term supplier agreements<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Fixed-price contracts remove short-term volatility from your cost base. By agreeing a price for a known volume of raw material at a future date, you exchange uncertainty for certainty &#8211; and that certainty has real value when\u00a0you&#8217;re\u00a0building product pricing or presenting margin forecasts to your finance team.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The trade-off is that fixed pricing usually carries a premium. Suppliers take on market risk when they offer fixed prices, and they price that risk in accordingly. In a rising market, the premium is worth paying. In a falling market, you may find yourself locked into costs above the prevailing rate.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">This is exactly where forecasting earns its keep. Locking in ahead of\u00a0an anticipated\u00a0price rise is good procurement. Locking in at the top of the market because it felt prudent is an avoidable mistake.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">3: Strategic purchasing and inventory management<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Buying ahead when prices are lows and drawing down buffer stock when prices are\u00a0high\u00a0is one of the oldest commodity risk management techniques. Done well, it reduces average input costs over time and provides some\u00a0insulation against short-term spikes.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Done poorly, it ties up working capital in excess inventory, creates storage cost problems, and,\u00a0if prices keep rising,\u00a0simply delays rather than avoids the exposure.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The difference between the two usually comes down to the quality of the intelligence driving the decision. Strategic purchasing works when\u00a0it&#8217;s\u00a0informed by a credible view on where prices are headed. Without that,\u00a0it&#8217;s\u00a0just stockpiling on\u00a0instinct.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">4: Diversify your supplier base and sourcing geography<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Concentration risk is a commodity risk. If a significant share of your key ingredient spend flows through a single supplier or a single growing region, any disruption to that supply chain creates a cost problem and a continuity problem at the same time.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Building relationships with alternative suppliers &#8211; including those in different geographies &#8211; gives you options when conditions in one market deteriorate. Post-COVID and post-Ukraine, most procurement functions have become more aware of this, but translating awareness into an actively managed diversification strategy takes deliberate effort.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Diversification\u00a0won&#8217;t\u00a0eliminate\u00a0price risk. It does reduce the likelihood that a single event turns into a crisis rather than a manageable cost pressure.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">5: Use financial hedging instruments<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">For businesses with significant commodity spend, financial\u00a0instruments\u00a0provide\u00a0a formal mechanism for transferring price risk to a counterparty willing to take the other side. The main options are:<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Futures contracts<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0let you lock in a purchase price for a commodity at a future date.\u00a0They&#8217;re\u00a0traded on exchanges such as ICE or CME and are most practical for commodities with liquid futures markets &#8211; wheat, sugar, coffee, cocoa, and vegetable oils among them.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Options<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0give you the right, but not the obligation, to buy at a set price. Unlike futures, you can walk away if the market moves in your favour. You pay a premium upfront for that flexibility, but your downside is capped while your upside stays open.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">OTC swaps and\u00a0insurance products<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0are more bespoke arrangements, typically used when exchange-traded\u00a0instruments\u00a0don&#8217;t\u00a0match your exact exposure, or when you want to aggregate multiple commodity risks into\u00a0a single product.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Financial\u00a0instruments are useful, but they\u00a0require\u00a0expertise\u00a0and come with\u00a0real costs\u00a0and complexities. For most procurement teams &#8211; particularly those without a dedicated risk or treasury function &#8211; they work best as a complement to operational strategies, not a substitute for them.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h5>Choosing the Right Mix of Strategies for Your Business\u00a0<\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">There&#8217;s\u00a0no single formula here. The right combination of strategies depends on your commodity spend volume, the liquidity of the markets\u00a0you&#8217;re\u00a0buying in, your internal\u00a0expertise, and how much cost certainty your business needs versus how much flexibility it can tolerate.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">A simple way\u00a0to frame it:<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<table data-tablestyle=\"MsoTableGrid\" data-tablelook=\"1184\" aria-rowcount=\"5\">\n<tbody>\n<tr aria-rowindex=\"1\">\n<td data-celllook=\"0\">\n<p><strong>Stage\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"0\">\n<p><strong>Approach\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"0\">\n<p><strong>Best for:\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr aria-rowindex=\"2\">\n<td data-celllook=\"0\">\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Reactive<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"0\">\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Buy when needed, no forward planning<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"0\">\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Low\u00a0commodity\u00a0spend, limited exposure<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr aria-rowindex=\"3\">\n<td data-celllook=\"0\">\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Operational<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"0\">\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Supplier agreements + buffer stock<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"0\">\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Mid-market buyers, moderate exposure<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr aria-rowindex=\"4\">\n<td data-celllook=\"0\">\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Financial<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"0\">\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Futures\/options\/forecasting<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"0\">\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Higher spend, dedicated treasury support<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr aria-rowindex=\"5\">\n<td data-celllook=\"0\">\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Data-led<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"0\">\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Forecasting informed across all strategies<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"0\">\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Any size &#8211; this is the multiplier<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">For most food and beverage procurement managers, the highest-value starting point\u00a0isn&#8217;t\u00a0a derivatives account.\u00a0It&#8217;s\u00a0better market intelligence. When you can see where prices are likely to move, every other strategy becomes easier to time and justify.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n\t<\/div>\n\t<!-- .module.article-rich-text: end -->\n\n\n<!-- .module.introduction: start -->\n<div  class=\"module roi-calculator theme-grey pt-16 md:pt-20 xl:pt-24 pb-16 md:pb-20 xl:pb-24 relative z-10\" id=\"roi-calculator\">\n\t<div class=\"container md:grid grid-cols-12 \">\n\t\t<div class=\"content col-span-9\" data-scroll-class=\"expanaFadeInUp\" data-scroll-delay=\"500\">\n\t\t\t<h5 class=\"h5 roi-calculator-title\" data-scroll-class=\"expanaFadeInUp\">Find out how much you could save by using Expana<\/h5>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"description-container md:grid grid-cols-12\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"description mt mb prose col-span-12\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\tSelect up to 3 commodities, along with your annual spend on each, to calculate how much we could save you.\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div 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<div class=\"ff-repeater-container ff-el-repeater  ff_columns_total_3 font-labgMed\" data-name=\"repeater_container\" data-max_repeat=\"3\" data-root_name=\"repeater_container\" data-type=\"repeater_container\" >\n            <div class='ff-el-input--label'><label aria-label='' for=''><\/label><\/div>            <div class='ff-el-input--content'>\n                <div role=\"list\" aria-label=\"\" data-max_repeat=\"3\" data-root_name=\"repeater_container\" class=\"ff_repeater_container_list ff_flexible_list\">\n                    <div class=\"ff_repeater_body\" role=\"rowgroup\">\n                        <div class=\"ff_repeater_cont_row \" role=\"row\"><div class=\"row-items-container\">\n                            <div class='ff-t-cell ff-t-column-1' style='flex-basis: 33.33%;'>\n                <div class=\"ff_repeater_cell\" role=\"cell\">\n<!--                    <div class=\"--><!--\">-->\n<!--                        <label for=\"--><!--\">-->\n<!--                            --><!--                        <\/label>-->\n<!--                    <\/div>-->\n            \n                    <div class='ff-el-group ff-el-form-hide_label'><div class=\"ff-el-input--label ff-el-is-required\"><label for='ff_6_repeater_container_0' id='label_ff_6_repeater_container_0' aria-label=\"Dropdown\">Dropdown<\/label><\/div><div class='ff-el-input--content'><select name=\"repeater_container[0][0]\" id=\"ff_6_repeater_container_0\" class=\"ff-el-form-control category_data\" data-name=\"repeater_container_0_0\" aria-label=\"repeater level 1 and field Dropdown\" data-repeater_index=\"0\" data-type=\"repeater_container\" data-error_index=\"repeater_container[0]\" data-condition_field_name=\"repeater_container_condition_0_0\" data-calc_value=\"0\"  aria-invalid=\"false\" aria-required=\"true\" aria-labelledby=\"label_ff_6_repeater_container_0\"><option value=\"\">Choose a category<\/option><option value=\"Alcoholic Beverages\"  >Alcoholic Beverages<\/option><option 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L12.698564,6.07985493 L22.285564,6.07785493 L22.2861451,4.28304145 C22.2861451,3.9261522 22.0172149,3.62748119 21.6725071,3.58018108 L21.5767622,3.57365851 Z\" id=\"Combined-Shape\" fill=\"#117D4B\" fill-rule=\"nonzero\"><\/path>\n                <\/g>\n            <\/g>\n        <\/g>\n    <\/g>\n<\/svg><\/span><\/div>                        <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class='ff-el-group ff-el-form-hide_label hidden'><div class=\"ff-el-input--label\"><label for='ff_6_form_style_metadata' id='label_ff_6_form_style_metadata' aria-label=\"style_metadata\">style_metadata<\/label><\/div><div class='ff-el-input--content'><input type=\"text\" name=\"form_style_metadata\" value=\"{&quot;color&quot;:&quot;grey&quot;,&quot;align&quot;:&quot;left&quot;,&quot;title-size&quot;:&quot;h5&quot;}\" class=\"ff-el-form-control\" data-name=\"form_style_metadata\" id=\"ff_6_form_style_metadata\"  aria-invalid=\"false\" aria-required=false><\/div><\/div><div data-name=\"ff_cn_id_2\"  class='ff-t-container ff-column-container ff_columns_total_2 commodity_user_data'><div class='ff-t-cell ff-t-column-1' style='flex-basis: 50%;'><div class='ff-el-group ff-el-form-hide_label'><div class=\"ff-el-input--label\"><label for='ff_6_commodity_1' id='label_ff_6_commodity_1' aria-label=\"commodity 1\">commodity 1<\/label><\/div><div class='ff-el-input--content'><input type=\"text\" name=\"commodity_1\" class=\"ff-el-form-control\" data-name=\"commodity_1\" id=\"ff_6_commodity_1\"  aria-invalid=\"false\" aria-required=false><\/div><\/div><div class='ff-el-group ff-el-form-hide_label'><div class=\"ff-el-input--label\"><label for='ff_6_commodity_2' id='label_ff_6_commodity_2' aria-label=\"commodity 2\">commodity 2<\/label><\/div><div class='ff-el-input--content'><input type=\"text\" name=\"commodity_2\" class=\"ff-el-form-control\" data-name=\"commodity_2\" id=\"ff_6_commodity_2\"  aria-invalid=\"false\" aria-required=false><\/div><\/div><div class='ff-el-group ff-el-form-hide_label'><div class=\"ff-el-input--label\"><label for='ff_6_commodity_3' id='label_ff_6_commodity_3' aria-label=\"commodity 3\">commodity 3<\/label><\/div><div class='ff-el-input--content'><input type=\"text\" name=\"commodity_3\" class=\"ff-el-form-control\" data-name=\"commodity_3\" id=\"ff_6_commodity_3\"  aria-invalid=\"false\" aria-required=false><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class='ff-t-cell ff-t-column-2' style='flex-basis: 50%;'><div class='ff-el-group ff-el-form-hide_label'><div class=\"ff-el-input--label\"><label for='ff_6_spend_1' id='label_ff_6_spend_1' aria-label=\"spend 1\">spend 1<\/label><\/div><div class='ff-el-input--content'><input type=\"text\" name=\"spend_1\" class=\"ff-el-form-control\" data-name=\"spend_1\" id=\"ff_6_spend_1\"  aria-invalid=\"false\" aria-required=false><\/div><\/div><div class='ff-el-group ff-el-form-hide_label'><div class=\"ff-el-input--label\"><label for='ff_6_spend_2' id='label_ff_6_spend_2' aria-label=\"spend 2\">spend 2<\/label><\/div><div class='ff-el-input--content'><input type=\"text\" name=\"spend_2\" class=\"ff-el-form-control\" data-name=\"spend_2\" id=\"ff_6_spend_2\"  aria-invalid=\"false\" aria-required=false><\/div><\/div><div class='ff-el-group ff-el-form-hide_label'><div class=\"ff-el-input--label\"><label for='ff_6_spend_3' id='label_ff_6_spend_3' aria-label=\"spend 3\">spend 3<\/label><\/div><div class='ff-el-input--content'><input type=\"text\" name=\"spend_3\" class=\"ff-el-form-control\" data-name=\"spend_3\" id=\"ff_6_spend_3\"  aria-invalid=\"false\" aria-required=false><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class='ff-el-group ff-text-left font-labgMed ff_submit_btn_wrapper'><button type=\"submit\" class=\"ff-btn ff-btn-submit ff-btn-lg ff_btn_style wpf_has_custom_css\"  aria-label=\"Calculate\">Calculate<\/button><\/div><\/fieldset><\/form><div id='fluentform_6_errors' class='ff-errors-in-stack ff_form_instance_6_1 ff-form-loading_errors ff_form_instance_6_1_errors'><\/div><\/div>            <script type=\"text\/javascript\">\n                window.fluent_form_ff_form_instance_6_1 = {\"id\":\"6\",\"ajaxUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.expanamarkets.com\\\/wp-admin\\\/admin-ajax.php\",\"settings\":{\"layout\":{\"labelPlacement\":\"top\",\"asteriskPlacement\":\"\",\"helpMessagePlacement\":\"with_label\",\"errorMessagePlacement\":\"stackToBottom\",\"cssClassName\":\"\"},\"restrictions\":{\"denyEmptySubmission\":{\"enabled\":false}}},\"form_instance\":\"ff_form_instance_6_1\",\"form_id_selector\":\"fluentform_6\",\"rules\":{\"repeater_container[0]\":{\"required\":{\"value\":true,\"message\":\"Please complete all required fields.\",\"global_message\":\"This field is required\",\"global\":true}},\"repeater_container[1]\":{\"required\":{\"value\":true,\"message\":\"Please complete all required fields.\",\"global_message\":\"This field is 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fields.\",\"global\":true}},\"commodity_2\":{\"required\":{\"value\":false,\"message\":\"Please complete all required fields.\",\"global_message\":\"Please complete all required fields.\",\"global\":true}},\"commodity_3\":{\"required\":{\"value\":false,\"message\":\"Please complete all required fields.\",\"global_message\":\"Please complete all required fields.\",\"global\":true}},\"spend_1\":{\"required\":{\"value\":false,\"message\":\"Please complete all required fields.\",\"global_message\":\"Please complete all required fields.\",\"global\":true}},\"spend_2\":{\"required\":{\"value\":false,\"message\":\"Please complete all required fields.\",\"global_message\":\"Please complete all required fields.\",\"global\":true}},\"spend_3\":{\"required\":{\"value\":false,\"message\":\"Please complete all required fields.\",\"global_message\":\"Please complete all required fields.\",\"global\":true}}},\"debounce_time\":300,\"conditionals\":{\"repeater_container_condition_0_0\":{\"type\":\"group\",\"status\":true,\"conditions\":[{\"field\":\"\",\"value\":\"\",\"operator\":\"\"}],\"condition_groups\":[{\"rules\":[{\"field\":\"\",\"value\":\"\",\"operator\":\"\"}],\"title\":\"\",\"isEditingTitle\":false,\"isPreviewOpen\":false,\"isGroupOpen\":true}]}},\"file_upload_settings\":[]};\n                            <\/script>\n            \t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<div class=\"col-span-12 roi-disclaimer font-labgLight \">\n\t\t\t\t<p>\n\t\t\t\t\tThe Expana Savings Calculator is for Expana\u2019s marketing and informational purposes only. \n\t\t\t\t\tIt does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice, and is not a guarantee or accurate indicator of any future results or savings. \n\t\t\t\t\tResults can vary significantly due to factors not captured by the Savings Calculator, such as specific market conditions, taxes, hidden costs, and risk tolerance. \n\t\t\t\t\tExpana is not responsible for the content, results, or accuracy of the information on the Savings Calculator. See the full disclaimer \n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"text-coreMidGreen\" href=\"\/disclaimer-savings-calculator\">here<\/a>.\n\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n    \t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<!-- .module.roi-calculator: end -->\n\n\n<!-- .module.faqs-list: start -->\n<div  class=\"module faq-list pt-40 md:pt-64 xl:pt-80 pb-40 md:pb-64 xl:pb-80 hidden show-small:block show-medium:block show-large:block type-full\">\n\t<div class=\"container lg:grid lg:grid-cols-12 lg:px-80\">\n\n\t\t<div class=\"inner col-span-12 lg:col-span-10 lg:col-start-2 lg:col-end-12 bg-fn-ModBgLightTheme\">\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"text-[27px] font-light leading-8 mb-24 md:text-[34px] md:leading-10 text-coreDarkGreen\" data-scroll-class=\"expanaFadeInUp\">\n\t\t\t\t\tCommodity Risk FAQs\t\t\t\t<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"accordion first:border-t border-b border-digitalDarkGrey20 text-coreDarkGreen block\" data-scroll-class=\"fadeIn\" data-scroll-delay=\"500\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"py-16 pr-16 md:py-24 cursor-pointer accordion-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"flex justify-between\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"text-md leading-6 font-labgMed\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tWhat is the most effective way to reduce food commodity risk?\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-icon *:size-[20px] flex items-center transition-transform\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"25\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 25\" fill=\"none\">\n\t<path class=\"icon-chevron-down\" d=\"M12.0582 14.6383L19.4082 7.28828C19.6582 7.03828 19.9499 6.91745 20.2832 6.92578C20.6166 6.93411 20.9082 7.06328 21.1582 7.31328C21.4082 7.56328 21.5332 7.85495 21.5332 8.18828C21.5332 8.52161 21.4082 8.81328 21.1582 9.06328L13.4832 16.7633C13.2832 16.9633 13.0582 17.1133 12.8082 17.2133C12.5582 17.3133 12.3082 17.3633 12.0582 17.3633C11.8082 17.3633 11.5582 17.3133 11.3082 17.2133C11.0582 17.1133 10.8332 16.9633 10.6332 16.7633L2.93322 9.06328C2.68322 8.81328 2.56238 8.51745 2.57072 8.17578C2.57905 7.83412 2.70822 7.53828 2.95822 7.28828C3.20822 7.03828 3.49988 6.91328 3.83322 6.91328C4.16655 6.91328 4.45822 7.03828 4.70822 7.28828L12.0582 14.6383Z\" fill=\"currentcolor\"\/>\n<\/svg>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"overflow-hidden max-h-0 transition-all delay-100 duration-500 accordion-content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"pt-8 pb-24\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"*:leading-6\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW4824340 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW4824340 BCX0\">Combining operational strategies &#8211; fixed-price supplier agreements, strategic purchasing, and supply base diversification &#8211; with commodity price forecasting to inform the timing and scale of each decision. The common thread is acting before volatility hits, not after.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP Selected SCXW4824340 BCX0\" data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"accordion first:border-t border-b border-digitalDarkGrey20 text-coreDarkGreen block\" data-scroll-class=\"fadeIn\" data-scroll-delay=\"500\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"py-16 pr-16 md:py-24 cursor-pointer accordion-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"flex justify-between\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"text-md leading-6 font-labgMed\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tHow does commodity price forecasting help procurement teams?\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-icon *:size-[20px] flex items-center transition-transform\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"25\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 25\" fill=\"none\">\n\t<path class=\"icon-chevron-down\" d=\"M12.0582 14.6383L19.4082 7.28828C19.6582 7.03828 19.9499 6.91745 20.2832 6.92578C20.6166 6.93411 20.9082 7.06328 21.1582 7.31328C21.4082 7.56328 21.5332 7.85495 21.5332 8.18828C21.5332 8.52161 21.4082 8.81328 21.1582 9.06328L13.4832 16.7633C13.2832 16.9633 13.0582 17.1133 12.8082 17.2133C12.5582 17.3133 12.3082 17.3633 12.0582 17.3633C11.8082 17.3633 11.5582 17.3133 11.3082 17.2133C11.0582 17.1133 10.8332 16.9633 10.6332 16.7633L2.93322 9.06328C2.68322 8.81328 2.56238 8.51745 2.57072 8.17578C2.57905 7.83412 2.70822 7.53828 2.95822 7.28828C3.20822 7.03828 3.49988 6.91328 3.83322 6.91328C4.16655 6.91328 4.45822 7.03828 4.70822 7.28828L12.0582 14.6383Z\" fill=\"currentcolor\"\/>\n<\/svg>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"overflow-hidden max-h-0 transition-all delay-100 duration-500 accordion-content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"pt-8 pb-24\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"*:leading-6\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW261143350 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW261143350 BCX0\">It gives you a forward view of where prices are likely to move, which means better-timed purchasing decisions, more informed contract negotiations, and earlier sight of potential cost pressures. Rather than responding to price movements after the fact, teams with reliable forecasting can act ahead of the market &#8211; buying forward before a price rise, deferring purchases before a projected fall, or locking in fixed-price agreements at the right point in the cycle.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP Selected SCXW261143350 BCX0\" data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"accordion first:border-t border-b border-digitalDarkGrey20 text-coreDarkGreen block\" data-scroll-class=\"fadeIn\" data-scroll-delay=\"500\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"py-16 pr-16 md:py-24 cursor-pointer accordion-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"flex justify-between\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"text-md leading-6 font-labgMed\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tWhat food commodities carry the highest price risk?\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-icon *:size-[20px] flex items-center transition-transform\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"25\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 25\" fill=\"none\">\n\t<path class=\"icon-chevron-down\" d=\"M12.0582 14.6383L19.4082 7.28828C19.6582 7.03828 19.9499 6.91745 20.2832 6.92578C20.6166 6.93411 20.9082 7.06328 21.1582 7.31328C21.4082 7.56328 21.5332 7.85495 21.5332 8.18828C21.5332 8.52161 21.4082 8.81328 21.1582 9.06328L13.4832 16.7633C13.2832 16.9633 13.0582 17.1133 12.8082 17.2133C12.5582 17.3133 12.3082 17.3633 12.0582 17.3633C11.8082 17.3633 11.5582 17.3133 11.3082 17.2133C11.0582 17.1133 10.8332 16.9633 10.6332 16.7633L2.93322 9.06328C2.68322 8.81328 2.56238 8.51745 2.57072 8.17578C2.57905 7.83412 2.70822 7.53828 2.95822 7.28828C3.20822 7.03828 3.49988 6.91328 3.83322 6.91328C4.16655 6.91328 4.45822 7.03828 4.70822 7.28828L12.0582 14.6383Z\" fill=\"currentcolor\"\/>\n<\/svg>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"overflow-hidden max-h-0 transition-all delay-100 duration-500 accordion-content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"pt-8 pb-24\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"*:leading-6\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW55005083 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW55005083 BCX0\">Soft commodities &#8211; those dependent on agricultural production &#8211; tend to carry the highest price risk, given their exposure to weather, disease, and geopolitical disruption. Cocoa, coffee, wheat, palm oil, and sugar have all seen significant volatility in recent years. Energy-linked costs such as packaging materials and\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW55005083 BCX0\">logistics<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW55005083 BCX0\">\u00a0are increasingly relevant for food manufacturers\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW55005083 BCX0\">too, because<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW55005083 BCX0\">\u00a0oil price movements feed through into petrochemical-derived inputs.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP Selected SCXW55005083 BCX0\" data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<!-- .module.faqs-list: end -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":125,"featured_media":3464,"template":"","tags":[],"insight-theme":[167],"insight_topic":[],"news_topic":[],"class_list":["post-14965","insight","type-insight","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","insight-theme-leaders-in-procurement"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.6 (Yoast SEO v27.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>How to Reduce Food Commodity Risk<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Food commodity prices are more volatile than ever. 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