{"id":14777,"date":"2026-03-05T11:14:37","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T11:14:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.expanamarkets.com\/?post_type=insight&#038;p=14777"},"modified":"2026-03-05T14:09:51","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T14:09:51","slug":"middle-east-conflict-compounding-policy-and-supply-side-challenges-in-global-sulfur-markets","status":"publish","type":"insight","link":"https:\/\/www.expanamarkets.com\/insights\/article\/middle-east-conflict-compounding-policy-and-supply-side-challenges-in-global-sulfur-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"Middle East Conflict: Compounding Policy and Supply-Side Challenges in Global Sulfur Markets"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<!-- .module.article-rich-text: start -->\n<div id=\"\" class=\"module article-rich-text pt-32 md:pt-48 xl:pt-56 pb-16 md:pb-20 xl:pb-24 hidden show-small:block show-medium:block show-large:block [p_+_p]:mb-24\">\n\t<h5 class=\"mb-2 whitespace-pre-wrap\">Sulfur Prices Surge in China Amid Middle East Tensions<\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Sulfur prices in China<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0jumped sharply t<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">his week amid escalating geopolitical\u00a0tensions in the\u00a0Middle East.\u00a0The Middle East is a major supplier of sulfur globally and China relies on imports from\u00a0countries\u00a0such as Iran and the United Arab Emirates.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0Key\u00a0trade lanes\u00a0have been\u00a0cut\u00a0off,\u00a0limiting supply and<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0triggering concerns that higher\u00a0sulfur\u00a0costs will cascade into downstream animal nutrition inputs,\u00a0sources shared.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The move is already\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">reflected<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0in the sulfuric acid market,\u00a0as\u00a0production\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">cost\u00a0pressure builds up\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">for sulfate-based trace minerals such as manganese and zinc sulfate, according to a Chinese producer.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">A\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">China-based<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0trader shared that Chinese sulfur values rose RMB 160\/MT from February 27 to\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">this<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">Tuesday<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0and increased a further RMB 150\/MT\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">by<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0close of business (COB) March 4,\u00a0representing\u00a0an 8% increase in less than a week.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">A\u00a0Chinese trace mineral producer\u00a0stated\u00a0that\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">domestic\u00a0Chinese<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0sulfur\u00a0values\u00a0have risen\u00a0RMB 200\/<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">metric tons (MT)\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">since the beginning of 2026 in the Southwest region of China.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">&#8220;It is quite concerning,&#8221; the exporter said, adding that expectations for further increases have lifted sulfuric acid prices, directly\u00a0impacting\u00a0manganese and zinc sulfate production costs.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">A Brazilian manganese sulfate producer echoed the view,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">cautioning<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0that a sustained sulfur\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">price<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0rally in China could quickly tighten margins across the sulfate market and\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">compel<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0near\u00a0term FOB price\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">hikes<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5>Global Supply Constraints and Policy Impacts<\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">While the Middle East conflict has accelerated the latest price uptick, the market\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">is no stranger to<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0policy-driven and supply-side constraints.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Global sulfuric acid\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">values\u00a0have been on a\u00a0sharp\u00a0upward trend\u00a0since the beginning of the year\u00a0as\u00a0the Chinese government introduced a 700,000\u00a0MT<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0export quota for the January\u00a0to\u00a0April 2026 period,\u00a0nearly 50%\u00a0lower than the same period in 2025.\u00a0Sources shared that\u00a0priority would be given to ensuring Chinese domestic supply and that exports may be\u00a0permitted\u00a0in limited quantities when the export price exceeds the domestic price.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\">Meanwhile<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, Russian exports\u00a0remain\u00a0absent from international markets, with an export ban in place until March 31.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">A significant global sulfur supply shock\u00a0emerged\u00a0in\u00a0anuary\u00a02026\u00a0when\u00a0Tengizchevroil\u00a0(TCO) was forced to halt production at\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">its<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0Kazakhstan&#8217;s\u00a0Tengiz\u00a0oilfield after a power station fire. The force majeure on crude exports from the plant has not yet been lifted,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">creating<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">current<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">supply<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0lag before sulfur volumes return to the market.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5>Brazil\u2019s Domestic Production Challenges<\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In Brazil, the cost and availability picture has been further complicated by reduced domestic sulfuric acid supply.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">A Brazilian copper sulfate producer said conditions have become &#8220;complicated&#8221; since Yara stopped producing sulfuric acid locally, leaving only three other producers\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">operational<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. Some of those remaining suppliers are integrated into value-added products such as feed phosphates and trace minerals, limiting availability for other sulfate producers, the source said.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Imports have &#8220;traditionally not been very reliable,&#8221; the producer added.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Yara confirmed it began hibernating\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">its<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0phosphate fertilizer and sulfuric acid production at its\u00a0Cubat\u00e3o\u00a0and\u00a0Paul\u00ednia\u00a0facilities\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">back in<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0February 2025, with the process\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">originally<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0expected to conclude by the end of 2025.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Market sources now report they are no longer receiving material from Yara. The company said the decision\u00a0aligns with its long-term strategy to focus on nitrogen-based fertilizers and sustainable solutions\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">instead<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5>Impact on Feed Phosphate Markets<\/h5>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Rising sulfur costs are also\u00a0impacting\u00a0feed phosphates by increasing the incentive for phosphate suppliers to lift prices. Similarly to sulfuric acid, China has temporarily halted DAP, MAP and NP exports until August 2026, pointing to tighter global\u00a0phosphoric acid\u00a0availability in 2026.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Some feed phosphate producers\u00a0reported\u00a0in February that phosphoric acid contract costs rose by $20\u2013$30\/<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">MT<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, despite a rollover of the first Q1 2026 global contract between Coromandel International Limited and\u00a0Nutrien.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In Brazil, DCP buyers reported difficulty obtaining Q2 prices last week as offers from major suppliers were absent.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Multiple sources flagged the risk of a Q2 price jump of 20\u201334% amid higher sulfur costs and ongoing local sulfuric acid tightness. These developments were\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">already<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0underway prior to the Middle East\u00a0conflict,\u00a0sources\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">now<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0expect continued uncertainty on Q2 feed phosphates prices.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Meanwhile, DCP stock levels continue to be reported as adequate, and buyer behavior muted\u00a0as Chinese import volumes were above historical averages in 2025.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Some Chinese DCP manufacturers were yet to release\u00a0new offers\u00a0to the Brazilian market this week after the Chinese Lunar New Year\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">holiday closure<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. Other\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">sellers<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0had decided to pause quotations and<\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">\u00a0take on fresh\u00a0orders<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0following the Middle East conflict, sources said.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Image source: Adobe<\/p>\n\t<\/div>\n\t<!-- .module.article-rich-text: end -->\n\n\n<!-- .module.promo-cta: start -->\n<div class=\"module promo-cta theme-dark bg-fn-ModBgDarkTheme pt-40 md:pt-64 xl:pt-80 pb-40 md:pb-64 xl:pb-80 hidden show-small:block show-medium:block show-large:block bg-cover bg-center bg-no-repeat relative before:absolute before:inset-0 before:bg-black\/50 before:z-10 relative overflow-hidden z-0\"style=\"background-image: url(https:\/\/www.expanamarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/shipping_AdobeStock_821689173.jpg);\">\n    <div class=\"container relative z-20\">\n\n\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<div class=\"rounded-10 z-20 relative pt-32 overflow-hidden pb-16 grid grid-cols-4 md:grid-cols-8 md:pr-0 md:py-0 gap-32 lg:grid-cols-12 text-white\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"flex flex-col col-span-4 md:col-span-6 md:col-start-2 lg:col-span-8 md:py-12 lg:col-start-3 text-center\">\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<h3 data-scroll-class=\"expanaFadeInUp\">Global Markets on Edge: The Expanding Impact of Hormuz Disruption<\/h3>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"description prose mb-12\" data-scroll-class=\"expanaFadeInUp\" data-scroll-delay=\"500\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Escalating Middle East tensions are disrupting transit through the Strait of Hormuz, driving volatility across oil, freight and broader commodity markets. Join Expana\u2019s live Intelligence Briefing for cross-market analysis, price risk scenarios and the key indicators shaping markets in the days ahead.<\/p>\n<p><strong>March 03 | 3:30PM GMT<\/strong><\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"flex flex-row justify-center gap-16\" data-scroll-class=\"expanaFadeInUp\" data-scroll-delay=\"500\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/event.eu.on24.com\/wcc\/r\/8000192238\/9739EEC8D652F51F831FE9B606B5F125\" class=\"btn btn--filled transition-all border-2 rounded-100 font-labgMed leading-none flex justify-center items-center gap-x-12 px-24 py-16 bg-coreDataGreen border-coreDataGreen text-coreDarkGreen hover:bg-coreDataGreenHover hover:border-coreDataGreenHover \" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Watch on demand\">Watch on demand<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<!-- .module.promo-cta: end -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":45,"featured_media":14789,"template":"","tags":[318],"insight-theme":[166],"insight_topic":[165,317],"news_topic":[],"class_list":["post-14777","insight","type-insight","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-fertilizers","insight-theme-weekly-market-insights","insight_topic-industrials-and-metals","insight_topic-middle-east-conflict"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.6 (Yoast SEO v27.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Compounding Policy and Supply-Side Challenges in Global Sulfur Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore the latest trends in sulfur markets as prices soar due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East impacting supply.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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is a commodity intelligence solution that transforms market data into smarter decisions for agrifood and related sectors.\",\"legalName\":\"Expana\",\"foundingDate\":\"1858-01-01\",\"numberOfEmployees\":{\"@type\":\"QuantitativeValue\",\"minValue\":\"201\",\"maxValue\":\"500\"}},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.expanamarkets.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/a6ae780a53645122fb25ec628f91b549\",\"name\":\"Elliot Holgate\",\"description\":\"Elliot Holgate joined Feedinfo in 2023 as a market reporter covering feed additive price assessments and agribusiness news in South America. Elliot has nine years of experience working with fast-moving consumer goods supply chains. His expertise includes sales and procurement across a range of commodities and functional ingredients, with proficiency in options, futures, and both fundamental and technical analysis. 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