{"id":12514,"date":"2025-09-18T13:08:59","date_gmt":"2025-09-18T13:08:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.expanamarkets.com\/?post_type=insight&#038;p=12514"},"modified":"2026-03-02T10:05:19","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T10:05:19","slug":"world-sugar-futures-decline-as-india-projects-higher-exports","status":"publish","type":"insight","link":"https:\/\/www.expanamarkets.com\/insights\/article\/world-sugar-futures-decline-as-india-projects-higher-exports\/","title":{"rendered":"World Sugar Futures Decline as India Projects Higher Exports"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<!-- .module.article-rich-text: start -->\n<div id=\"\" class=\"module article-rich-text pt-32 md:pt-48 xl:pt-56 pb-40 md:pb-64 xl:pb-80 hidden show-small:block show-medium:block show-large:block [p_+_p]:mb-24\">\n\t<p>Nearby\u00a0<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/app.expanamarkets.com\/en\/SUGN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ICE NY #11<\/a><\/span> (customer access only) world <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.expanamarkets.com\/markets\/tropical-softs\/sugar-sweeteners\/\">sugar futures<\/a><\/span> declined 3% w-o-w and nearly 5% on the month. The decrease came as the Indian Sugar and Bio-energy Manufacturers Association (ISMA) reported it has requested to export two million metric tons of sugar in the 2025\/26 season beginning in October.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/library.urnerbarry.com\/Images\/Capture_114.PNG\" width=\"743\" height=\"463\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Last week, the ICE NY #11 sugar price fell to roughly four-year lows as the outlook for global sugar production continues to grow. The expectation of higher sugar exports from India is supporting bearish sugar prices as abundant rains could produce a bumper sugar crop.<\/p>\n<p>In June, India\u2019s National Federation of Cooperative Sugar Factories projected that the country\u2019s 2025\/26 sugar production would rise 19% y-o-y, totaling 34.9 million metric tons. This would follow a 17.5% y-o-y decline in India\u2019s sugar production in 2024\/25, a five-year low totaling 26.2 million metric tons, according to the Indian Sugar Mills Association.<\/p>\n<p>The USDA stated in its bi-annual report that 2025\/26 global sugar production will climb nearly 5% to a record 189.31 million metric tons, and human sugar consumption will increase slightly, also reaching a record of 177.92 million metric tons.<\/p>\n<p>Also, the USDA predicts India\u2019s sugar production to increase 25% y-o-y, reaching 35.3 million metric tons based on favorable weather conditions and increased sugar acreage. As the world\u2019s second-largest sugar producer, these positive production figures and potential uptick in India\u2019s sugar exports could continue to push futures prices downward.<\/p>\n<p>Currently, India primarily exports sugar to countries in Southeast Asia and the Middle East; with Indonesia and Bangladesh being major destinations. Despite US tariffs of 50% remaining on Brazil and India, the Indian Prime Minister Modi and US President Trump expressed positivity that the respective trade teams would reach an agreement, according to their latest social media\u00a0<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/app.expanamarkets.com\/en\/article\/739575\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">posts<\/a><\/span>. (customer access only)<\/p>\n\t<\/div>\n\t<!-- .module.article-rich-text: end -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":74,"featured_media":10992,"template":"","tags":[137],"insight-theme":[166],"insight_topic":[299],"news_topic":[],"class_list":["post-12514","insight","type-insight","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-sugar-sweeteners","insight-theme-weekly-market-insights","insight_topic-sugar-and-sweeteners"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.6 (Yoast SEO v27.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>World Sugar Futures Decline as India Projects Higher Exports<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"World sugar futures have declined 3% w-o-w and nearly 5% on the month. 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